The Sydney Morning Herald
First published 1831 No. 54,984
INDEPENDENT. ALWAYS.
Wednesday, January 1, 2014 $2.30 inc GST
New modelling suggests higher rise in temperature Role of clouds overrated
Secret's out
Climate predictions 'wrong
As treasurer, Paul Keating told the
cabinet that negative gearing
should be scrapped, but he was
rebuffed. Cabinet papersfor 1986
and 1987, released today, also reveal
the government's grappling with
indigenous land rights.
> News - Pages 3,10-13
Peter Hannam
Forecasts in many elimate
models for lower temperature
rises were based on assump-
tions that clouds might help lim-
it temperature increases.
But the team claims to have
found the key to predicting cloud sion" of global warming and an as-
behaviour, and forecasts that
clouds will not be nearly as help-
ful as thought in many models.
Current models estimate a
doubling of carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere
may be reached by mid-century his Business Advisory Council, ing the record set in 2005.
- will result in temperature
rises of between 1.5 degrees and
5 degrees. The publication of the
research comes as the top business duced under the Howard govern-
adviser to Prime Minister Tony Ab-
bott has again caused controversy
with comments about the "delu-
the carbon tax and the renewable
energy target, the latter intro-
Environment Editor
Temperatures are on course to rise
at least 4 degrees by the end of the
century, according to research that
finds earlier elimate models pro-
jecting smaller increases are likely
to be wrong.
ment, had eroded competitiveness.
Under Labor and the Greens, Olympic threat
Australia had been taken hostage
by “climate change madness", Mr
The research, by a team led by
the University of NSW, says a
4-degree rise in temperature
would be potentially catastrophic
for agriculture in warm regions of
the world, including Australia.
sertion that climate change policy
has destroyed Australia's manufac-
turing sector and competitiveness.
In an opinion piece in The Aus-
tralian newspaper, Maurice New-
man, Mr Abbott's pick as head of tury of forecasts, with 2013 eclips-
Newman wrote.
The research, published on
Wednesday in the respected journ-
al Nature, comes as Australia ends
its hottest year in more than a cen-
Australia has expressed confidence
that Russian authorities can keep ath-
letes and fans safe at the Winter Olym-
pics after two terrorist bombings
killed at least 30 people But Australl-
an gold medal prospect Torah Bright
says she will pull out of the Games if
the problems worsen.
> News - Page 3
a level that
said high energy costs caused by
I Continued Page 4
more give, less take
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